蝴蝶自来
The exchange shows a headline ROI of -89% (rank #8,620), but our analysis found 5 red flags. Review the reasons below.
What if you had copied this trader?
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Simplified simulation. Assumes you mirror every trade at a size proportional to this trader's account (AUM) and that your position sizing stays fixed relative to your starting capital. Fees, funding, slippage, execution delay and copy limits are not included — real results will differ. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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New to copy trading?→ Read the getting-started guideMeasured vs exchange-reported
Our figures (from actual closed trades) next to what the exchange advertises. A wide gap is itself a warning sign.
| Metric | Measured | Reported |
|---|---|---|
| Actual win rate | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| Closed trades (sample) | 2 trades | — |
| Profit concentration (top trade) | 100.0% | — |
| Profit factor | 15.60 | — |
| Median holding time | 22.8d | — |
| Max leverage | 10x | — |
| Avg leverage | 10x | — |
| Symbols traded | 2 symbols | — |
| Reported ROI | — | -89% |
| Reported MDD | — | 96.4% |
| Copier realized P&L | — | -$29 |
| Current followers | — | 2 |
| Assets under mgmt (AUM) | — | $261 |
How the quality score is calculated
Starts from a base of 60 points, adds for healthy factors and deducts for risky ones. See the document for details. Methodology
Red flags found
A statistically unreliable sample. Flashy returns may have come from a handful of lucky trades.
Overall profit depends on a few home-run trades — closer to luck than skill, and hard to reproduce.
The combined P&L of people who actually copied this trader is negative. The leader's result and the followers' result diverge sharply.
Assets fell more than 40% from their peak at some point — volatility that is psychologically hard to endure.
Concentrated in a few symbols with no diversification. Performance hinges on specific coin events.
This analysis is reference information based on public data and is not investment advice. Trader ID: 4963981994365489920. See the investment disclaimer